The man had sex with a minor and skipped bail for 30 years. If he wasn't famous he'd have been hunted by Interpol, found and pressure would be put on France to extradite him though the EU courts. He would be very publicly flown back the States and sent to Prison for the rest of his life.
No, probably not. You see, Polanski is a French citizen. France's extradition treaty with the US specifically allows it to refuse to extradite French citizens, and in fact France almost never does extradite them. They are also reluctant to extradite people accused under American sex crime laws, because the French people are a bit suspicious of the way we enforce those.
So the EU court would look at the extradition treaty and say "Sorry, America, but you signed off on this to give them the right to do exactly what they're doing."
As for fame, if Polanski wasn't famous the Los Angeles DA's office almost certainly would have forgotten about him by now. Most 30-year old bench warrants come up only if the miscreant is arrested for something else and the police do a warrant search on him. But Polanski's fame has kept his story on the top of the LA DA's desk - even though there have been five different men in that office since Polanski was convicted.
Because of fame and Americas anal obsession with it the worst this rapist will get is a few months in an open prison and he'll be out in 25 days for good behavior. He'll make millions off the publicity, book deals and film of his life.
That remains to be seen, but there's an excellent chance that you're wrong about that too. The fact that the DA's office has kept after him for this long means they're hot to nail him, and judges are seldom sympathetic to people who skip out to avoid sentencing.
If Polanski does get off lightly, it will be for two reasons: the fact that his victim has filed court papers to have the charges dismissed, and the fact that there are demonstrable irregularities in the way the original judge handled his case.
Ironically the bastard stands to make more money from this than all the combined US rape victims payout across the 30 years he was on the run. Land of hope and glory 🙂
Wow, you're more upset about him than his victim is. That might be worth thinking about.