Okay, I know the first ten weeks I have averagred 6 wins a week. I really am in need of some good weeks. I am looking to change things right here and right now. Fantasy Leagues are looking really good. One team at 9-1 and have clinched a playoff spot. The other is 6-4 and with a win this weekend in that league I clinch a playoff spot there too. ( Amazing that I never thought I could like Fantasy Leagues but I have to thank Natural for getting me into the baseball and one league in football and thanks goes out to Flock of Seagulls who got me in the other. ) I am hoping I can use that good karma there to get some picks here. ( Not that one has anything to do with the other mind you. ) Okay, I am in 16th place with a 61-73-9 record. That changes this week. So if you are looking for success, follow my lead. Week #11 in the League where they play... for PAY.
Sunday, November 18th,2007
San Diego +3 @ Jacksonville--- Common sense tells me that Jacksonville will win this game. San Diego's season has been marred by inconsistancy. Norv Turner is an absolute moron when it comes to being a head coach. I could get the Chargers in a better position with the talent on that team. But Norv can turn ( pun intended ) a good situation bad in a hurry. Think about this, this team was 14-2 last year. They will be lucky to win 10 games. That all being stated, this game will be decided by a last second FG make or miss. Taking the Chargers to not necessarily to win but not lose by 4 points.
Kansas City +14 1/2 @ Indianapolis--- I think that the Colts will win this game easy. But the point spread has me rooting for the Chiefs to lose by 14 points or less. This is one of those games that Payton could reestablish himself after his 6 INT performance and he should do a decent job. But 14 1/2 points is too many points to lay to a good defensive team.
Oakland +5 1/2 @ Minnesota--- Two teams that have done a poor job scoring this season. I expect a low scoring affair. Look for this to be a FG game as well. Chester Taylor will do well out of the backfield for the injuried Adrian Peterson. How well??? Probably 120 yards on the ground and another 30 yards receiving. He will probably find the end zone once too. Minnesota's secondary should be exploited a bit too. This will be a 17-14 type game. Taking the road running Raiders.
Cleveland -2 1/2 @ Baltimore--- Coming into this season I would have never have thought that the Browns would be favored on the road. But that is how good the Browns have been this season. They lost a heartbreaker to Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers last week, but that should not be the case this week. Baltimore's defense will find out what the term overrated means this week. This will be another example of why the Ravens team needs to be dismantled and why maybe the coach will be let go at the end of the year. Pittsburgh embarrassed them on Monday Night two weeks ago. The Ravens allowed the Bengals to move the ball into FG position 7 times last week. Ravens problem is simple: Can't score. Defense is on the field ALL the time. If you are picking the Ravens here you will lose. Taking the high flying Browns to torch the Ravens.
Pittsburgh -9 @ New York Jets--- The Steelers blitz packages should be enough to drive Kellen Clemens crazy and to the hottub. Though I will root the Jets on hard here and will gladly accept a loss on this game, I can't make a case for my beloved team of 36 years. Actually I could make a case, but I don't need to have people think I am crazier than I already am. So go J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS...but expect a Steelers win which should make Mz.Chaos finally come out of hiding.
Tampa Bay -3 @ Atlanta--- Is there a reason to make a case why I would pick against Atlanta??? I didn't think so. Going Tampa Bay.
Arizona +3 1/2 @
Cincinnati--- This was a tough game to call for me. Arizona will score against this Bengals defense. But I think the Bengals have so many offensive weapons. I actually think that Arizona's defense is pretty good. Especially with the return of LB Karlos Dansby. But in the end, don't you have to favor Palmer in the boys??? Of course, you do. Taking the homestanding Bengals.
Miami +10 @
Philadelphia--- The Fish have played some close games recently. And as with any bad team, you lose confidence ( I speak from experience here ). The Dolphins are about ready to blow a tire here. They don't score which is the first problem. Their second problem is they are changing QB's again. Though Philadelphia has struggled they should have a fun time here. Look for the Dolphins very decent defense to blow a tire here and lose big.
New England -15 1/2 @
Buffalo--- Can't take a team that is on the road playing a divisional games and just give up 15 1/2 points. Unless they cheat, which it has been proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that they do. Even so, I think that Buffalo will play with alot of pride and keep this a 10 point game. Taking and rooting ( imagine that ) the Buffalo Bills.
Washington +10 1/2 @
Dallas--- I have lost only two Dallas games all year long. They have been a very good team for me this season. I look for this game to be tight in the first half. I do believe in the end Dallas will make a statement to the Redskins before they play their traditional Thanksgiving Day game against the punchless Jets.
New Orleans +1 @ Houston--- Drew Brees has been a good job for the last several weeks now. There is no reason to believe that he will not have another good week. So look for the Saints to win a big game for them.
Carolina +10 @ Green Bay--- I just believe that Carolina will play a close game. In my opinion, Green Bay should not be 10 point favorites. But because they are, I will pick Carolina.
New York Giants -2 1/2 @
Detroit--- The Giants and Lions are both coming off of bad games. Giants are on the road. If they couldn't stop an offensive juggernaut like the Dallas Cowboys what makes people think that the Giants can stop the Lions at home on that fast track. Let me say, I am not comparing the Cowboys and the Lions. But both teams play well offensively. This is a game alot of people will get wrong. Both teams are looking to get a foothold on a potential playoff spot. A win here will help. The Lions will win this game outright with a 38-28 type game.
St.Louis -3 @ San Francisco--- Two bad teams do not deserve a big writeup. The 49ers can't score. That will be the deciding factor. The Rams will do just enough to win this game.
Chicago +6 1/2 @ Seattle--- I have a gut feeling about this game. I actually think that Rex Grossman will have a big game. ( Hard to imagine ) I think that Seattle coming off of their scrimmage on Monday Night against the 49ers will be flat. I think that Chicago's defense will do a good job in this game. I look for the upset here. Taking the points and the Bears.
Monday, November 19th,2007
Tennessee +2 1/2 @ Denver--- Denver's defense against the Titans is a bad matchup for the Broncos. I think Vince Young will have a party in Denver. Another road team for me. Taking the Titans and the points.
That is my picks for week#11 in the NFL. Have a GREAT weekend everyone.
Thank you my friend.
needs to start wending themselves ways from their addictions
!
