which horses have the best shot at winning the Kentucky Derby ?

[FlockOfSeagulls]

And do any of these horses have a chance at the Triple Crown?

 

[Mz Chaos]

I don't know about you... but i'm rooting for Barbaro.
(In the movie Pharlap... it is mentioned that the best racers in Australia at that time seemed to have 7 letters in their names. I'm hoping this is the case here.)
You never supplied the list of horses so I'll provide the link where I got this info.

http://www.horse-races.net/library/derby06-contenders.htm

I went through the stats and the best are as follows:

Barbaro
Race History :: Graded Earnings: $750,000 (as of 04.01.06) - Race Record: 5-5-0-0
Date Race Finish Chart Recap Video Comments
04.01.06 Florida Derby (GI) 1st Chart Recap Video Fully extended to beat Sharp Humor
02.04.06 Holy Bull (GIII) 1st Chart Recap Video Didn't seem fazed by very sloppy track
01.01.06 Tropical Park Derby (GIII) 1st Chart Video With ease at 2-5
11.19.05 Laurel Futurity 1st Chart Video Demolished foes with devestating stretch run
10.04.05 Maiden allowance @ Delaware Park 1st Chart Rewarded his backers @ 7-1

Discreet Cat
1 starts 1-0-0 $27,000
Undefeated in three starts now. Broke his maiden at Saratoga last year then was sent to Dubai where he won the Areej Trophy and the U.A.E. Derby. His plans are unsure, but a trip to Kentucky is a definite possibility.

High Cotton
5 starts 1-2-1 $98,120
Finished off his 2-year-old season with second place finishes in the Iroquois and Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes ast Churchill Downs. His first start of 2006 was a disaster where he stumbled at the start and was eased, but he redeemed himself with a runaway win in the Rushaway Stakes last out. Definitely one to watch since he has run well in Kentucky.

Sharp Humor
5 starts 3-0-1 $176,410
New York-bred won two restricted stakes at Belmont last year and made his 2006 debut a winning one in the Swale Stakes at Gulfstream Park against open company. Proved he could stretch out to a distance with a strong second in the Florida Derby only a half length behind Barbaro.


Sweetnorthernsaint
Race History :: Graded Earnings: $320,000 (as of 04.08.06) - Race Record: 6-3-0-1
Date Race Finish Chart Recap Video Comments
04.08.06 Illinois Derby (GII) 1st Chart Recap Video Drew off to win going away
03.18.06 Gotham (GIII) 3rd Chart Recap Video 3-wide entire trip
02.04.06 Miracle Wood 1st Video Took off in the stretch to win by 10
01.07.06 Maiden allowance @ Aqueduct 1st Video Drew off for another easy win
12.21.05 Maiden claiming $40K @ Laurel 1st Video Disqualified after 16-length win
12.21.05 Maiden allowance @ Colonial 12th Forgettable turf debut


Brother Derek
Race History :: Graded Earnings: $1,114,980 (as of 04.09.2006) - Race Record: 8-6-0-1
Date Race Finish Chart Recap Video Comment
04.08.06 Santa Anita Derby (GI) 1st Chart Recap Video Made it look easy
03.04.06 Santa Catalina (GII) 1st Chart Recap Video Drew off in deep stretch
01.14.06 San Rafael (GII) 1st Chart Recap Video Bested BC Juvenile champ
12.17.05 Hollywood Futurity (GI) 1st Chart Video Overcame awkward start
10.29.05 BC Juvenile (GI) 4th Chart Video Wide trip cost him somewhat
10.02.05 Norfolk (GII) 1st Chart Video Gate to wire in first 2-turn effort
09.05.05 Im Smokin Stakes @ Del Mar 3rd Video Tardy break; never in contention
05.14.05 Maiden Special Weight @ Hollywood 1st Came from last to take debut

Cause to Believe
Race History :: Graded Earnings: $192,500 (as of 04.09.06) - Race Record: 10-6-3-1
Date Race Finish Chart Recap Video Comments
04.08.06 Illinois Derby (GII) 3rd Chart Recap Video Reportedly didn't handle track very well
03.11.06 California Derby 1st Chart Recap Video Came to the front when asked
01.29.06 El Camino Real (GIII) 1st Chart Recap Video Edged away late
01.08.06 San Miguel @ Santa Anita 2nd Chart 2nd to top sprinter Too Much Bling
11.26.05 Mill Valley @ Golden Gate 1st Chart Turnback to 6 furlongs presented no problem
10.15.05 Bay Meadows Juvenile 1st Chart 2-5 favorite in first route race
08.07.05 Cavonnier Juvenile @ Santa Rosa 1st Fast closer in 5 1/2 furlong Fair event
06.18.05 Malcolm Andrews @ Golden Gate 2nd Came up just short with furious stretch run
06.05.05 Maiden allowance @ Golden Gate 1st 4 1/2 furlong dash for first win
05.19.05 Maiden allowance @ Golden Gate 2nd Sloppy outing in first start


First Samauri
Race History :: Graded Earnings: $834,900 (as of 03.05.06) - Race Record: 7-5-1-1
Date Race Finish Chart Recap Video Comments
03.04.06 Fountain of Youth (GII) 1st Chart Recap Video Put up after an eventful stretch run
02.04.06 Hutcheson (GII) 2nd Chart Video Good try in '06 debut
10.29.05 BC Juvenile (GI) 3rd Chart Video Game in first defeat
10.08.05 Champagne (GI) 1st Chart Video Pulled away from Henny late again
08.27.05 Hopeful (GI) 1st Chart Video Dominated in first race vs. Henny Hughes
08.07.05 Allowance @ Saratoga 1st Chart Video Outclassed competition
07.09.05 Maiden Special Weight @ Churchill Downs 1st Chart 1-2 favorite in easy debut win

 

[FlockOfSeagulls]

thanks for all the info.Miss GG

 

[Mz Chaos]

It's tomorrow folks!!!

 

[kered]

I think I'll root for Brother Derek. No reason in particular. 😀

 

[isabeau]

discreet cat sounds like a cool name.. and finally.. i've been thinking the derby was week before last, then last week.. gesh

isabeau