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The Strange Things Thread

Strange how the weather has such nice stretches and then other stretches it's miserable.
 
That's why I've always been fascinated by weather.
 
Weather is chaotic in the mathematical sense, so accurate long term prediction is impossible.
Chaos theory is an interdisciplinary area of scientific study and branch of mathematics. It focuses on underlying patterns and deterministic laws of dynamical systems that are highly sensitive to initial conditions. These were once thought to have completely random states of disorder and irregularities.[1] Chaos theory states that within the apparent randomness of chaotic complex systems, there are underlying patterns, interconnection, constant feedback loops, repetition, self-similarity, fractals and self-organization.[2] The butterfly effect, an underlying principle of chaos, describes how a small change in one state of a deterministic nonlinear system can result in large differences in a later state (meaning there is sensitive dependence on initial conditions).[3] A metaphor for this behavior is that a butterfly flapping its wings in Brazil can cause or prevent a tornado in Texas.[4][5]: 181–184 [6]

Small differences in initial conditions, such as those due to errors in measurements or due to rounding errors in numerical computation, can yield widely diverging outcomes for such dynamical systems, rendering long-term prediction of their behavior impossible in general.[7] This can happen even though these systems are deterministic, meaning that their future behavior follows a unique evolution[8] and is fully determined by their initial conditions, with no random elements involved.[9] In other words, despite the deterministic nature of these systems, this does not make them predictable.[10][11] This behavior is known as deterministic chaos, or simply chaos. The theory was summarized by Edward Lorenz as:[12]

Chaos: When the present determines the future but the approximate present does not approximately determine the future.

Chaotic behavior exists in many natural systems, including fluid flow, heartbeat irregularities, weather and climate.[13][14][8] It also occurs spontaneously in some systems with artificial components, such as road traffic.[2] This behavior can be studied through the analysis of a chaotic mathematical model or through analytical techniques such as recurrence plots and Poincaré maps. Chaos theory has applications in a variety of disciplines, including meteorology,[8] anthropology,[15] sociology, environmental science, computer science, engineering, economics, ecology, and pandemic crisis management.[16][17] The theory formed the basis for such fields of study as complex dynamical systems, edge of chaos theory and self-assembly processes.
Click to expand...
 
That's why I don't know why they put out the Farmer's Almanac.
 
milagros317 said:
Weather is chaotic in the mathematical sense, so accurate long term prediction is impossible.
Click to expand...
Yea Chaos Theory certainly applies there. Even applies to heart attacks. They wanted a tests to predict a heart attack just before it happens. Doesn't work that way though it's a chaotic event. You may be a great risk for it. But it may not happen for a week, month or even a few years.
 
And the Older Farmer's Almanac says the opposite as the regular Farmer's Almanac for next winter.
 
I just saw the September through November (Fall) forecast and it says we should be well above average...the weather here that time of year is sometimes the nicest weather we have. It seems like spring has gone downhill March/April/May tend to be cooler/rainier and nasty sometimes while September/October/November tend to be mild, nice and dry often.
 
I hope that Fall forecast is correct. I really hate snow that comes in November.
 
I hope so too Mils...the last thing we need is a really long cold winter that starts around Halloween and lasts till Easter lol.
 
I remember a blizzard on October 30, 2017, but it was followed by a mild winter.
 
Yes I remember kids playing in their Halloween Costumes throwing snowballs at each other. A very strange sighting.
 
I remember a triple digit day for Halloween. Lots of melted candy and worn out kids.
 
I would actually rather have a very hot and humid Halloween rather than be digging out from a blizzard.
 
I'd have to say I hope for neither too...not 100 or a blizzard...how about autumn?
 
Ideally, the temperature in autumn should stay above 40°F.
 
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